Technical Indicator MEGA Reference Part 38b – Momentum Divergence

Momentum Divergences

Identifying divergences between price and technical indicators can be an important aspect of technical analysis trading. Bullish divergences might signal a trader to exit their short position; similarly, bearish divergences could warn that prices could correct and that it might be advisable to exit any longs.

In the chart below of the S&P 500 exchange traded fund (SPY), Momentum divergences can be seen:

The first bearish divergence occured when price formed a double top formation. The Momentum indicator confirmed when price of the S&P 500 ETF failed to make a higher high.

The next divergence was a bullish divergence, where price made lower lows, yet the momentum indicator made higher lows. This signaled that the recent downtrend was losing steam and that a bottom could be forming.

The last divergence occured because the S&P 500 ETF was increasing, but at a decreasing rate. The momentum indicator shows this perfectly, by making lower highs over the course of about 15 stock trading days.

Just because a stock trader or futures trader sees a divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that they should reverse their stock or futures trade. Divergences are attempts at warning of potential reversals. A more concrete signal, like a trendline break might have been a great signal in the last example. Nevertheless, in this particular example, the Momentum indicator offered the stock trader plenty of time to reduce the size of their long stock position.

A similar, and arguably superior tool for measuring momentum is the Rate of Change indicator.

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